Your 2018 Election Headquarters

Welcome to Election Night 2018!

 

7:45 –

As voting wraps up across the state, turnout is trending high across the board. Here’s why that matters: Higher turnout benefits Democrats since Republicans are more consistent voters. Their turnout floor is higher, and Democrats turnout floor is lower. Conversely, Democrats turnout ceiling is far higher than Republicans, because of that same consistency advantage for Republicans. For example, President Trump received fewer votes in 16 than Mitt Romney did in 12, but won Michigan by a nose, where Romney lost it badly.

Heading into tonight, Democrats need nine seats in both the House and Senate to gain a majority of each chamber. With the voting trends mentioned above, the map for Democrats appears even more favorable than expected.

8:00 –

POLLS ARE OFFICIALLY CLOSED.

9:00 –

We have an early lead for Gretchen Whitmer.

Haley Stevens is ahead in US House District 11.

In US House District 8, Bishop is ahead, but we have only 1%  reporting.

9:55-

As expected, Democrats are winning handily in southeast Michigan.

10:00 –

HD 88 – Luke Meerman (R)

HD 49 – John Cherry (D)

HD 60 – Jon Hoadley (R)

HD 50 – Tim Sneller (D)

HD 34 – Sheldon Neeley (D)

HD 21 – Kristy Pagan (D)

10:18 –

MI Congressional District 3 – Justin Amash (R)

MI Congressional District 4 – John Moolenaar (R)

MI Congressional District 5 – Dan Kildee (D)

10:30 –

Like many media outlets, we’re calling the race for Governor for Democrat Gretchen Whitmer. Her campaign benefitted from what appears to be higher than normal turnout and the presence of statewide ballot initiatives popular with Democratic-leaning voters, including the anti-gerrymandering initiative and marijuana legalization. Congratulations Governor-Elect Whitmer!

10:32 –

MI Congressional District 10 – Paul Mitchell (R)

MI Congressional District 13 – Rashida Tlaib (D)

MI Congressional District 14 – Brenda Lawrence (D)

10:35 –

HD 107 – Lee Chatfield (R)

SD 37 – Wayne Schmidt (R)

SD 2 – Adam Hollier (D)

SD 3 – Sylvia Santana (D)

SD 4 – Marshall Bullock (D)

SD 5 – Betty Jean Alexander (D)

10:40 –

SD 20 – Sean McCann (D)

10:45 –

HD 71 – Angela Witwer (D)

10:50 –

SD 24 – Tom Barrett (R)

11:15 –

SD 9 – Paul Wojno (R)

SD 11 – Jeremy Moss (D)

SD 18 – Jeff Irwin (D)

SD 22 – Lana Theis (R)

SD 23 – Curtis Hertel (D)

SD 27 – Jim Ananich (D)

11:20 –

Secretary of State – Jocelyn Benson

SD 30 – Roger Victory (R)

HD 89 – Jim Lilly (R)

SD 32 – Ken Horn (R)

Proposal 2 – PASSED

Michigan’s legislative and congressional lines will be redrawn after 2020 by 13 citizens, rather than the Legislature

Proposal 3 – PASSED

Preserves no-reason absentee, straight-ticket as well as Election Day registration and voting in the state’s constitution, among other provisions aimed at making it easier to cast a ballot.

11:30 –

SD 35 – Curt VanderWall (R)

SD 36 – Jim Stamas (R)

SD 37 – Wayne Schmidt (R)

HD 18 – Kevin Hertel (D)

HD 22 – John Chirkun (D)

HD 27 – Robert Wittenburg (D)

HD 28 – Laurie Stone (D)

HD 29 – Brenda Carter (D)

HD 30 – Diana Farrington (R)

HD 42 – Ann Bollin (R)

HD 47 – Hank Vaupal (R)

HD 48 – Sheryl Kennedy (D)

HD 51 – Mike Muller (R)

HD 52 – Donna Lasinski (D)

HD 53 – Yousef Rabhi (D)

HD 54 – Ronnie Peterson (D)

HD 55 – Rebekah Warren (D)

HD 59 – Aaron Miller (R)

HD 58 – Eric Leutheuser (R)

HD 63 – Matt Hall (R)

HD 65 – Sarah Lightner (R)

HD 68 – Sarah Anthony (D)

HD 69 – Julie Brixie (D)

HD 70 – James Lauer (R)

HD 75 – David LaGrand (D)

HD 74 – Mark Huizenga (R)

11:40-

Debbie Stabenow, Michigan’s senior U.S. Senator, beat back a spirited challenge from Army veteran John James to keep Michigan’s Senate Seat blue.

HD 90 – Bradley Slagh (R)

HD 91 – Greg VanWorkem (R)

HD 92 – Terry Sabo (D)

HD 96 – Brian Elder (D)

HD 103 – Daire Rendon (R)

11:45-

MI Congressional District 1 – Jack Bergman (R)

11:55-

HD 40 – Mari Manoogian (D)

HD 20 – Matt Koleszar (D)

SD 7 – Dayna Polehanki (D)

SD 8 – Peter Lucido (R)

SD 16 – Mike Shirkey (R)

SD 19 – John Bizon (R)

SD 25 – Dan Lauwers (R)

SD 33 – Rick Outman (R)

12:00-

Proposal 1 – PASSED

Michigan voters tonight elected to legalize marijuana for recreational use. The initiative enjoyed broad support across the state, and seems to have been a factor in motivating turnout from some inconsistent voters. The proposal seeks to regulate recreational marijuana along similar lines as how alcohol is regulated in Michigan.

SD 28 – Peter MacGregor (R)

HD 66 – Beth Griffin (R)

HD 78 – Brad Paquette (R)

12:30-

MI Congressional District 8 – Elissa Slotkin (D)

SD 38 – Ed McBroom (R)

HD 108 – Beau LaFave (R)

MI Congressional District 6 – Fred Upton (R)

HD 46 – John Reilly (R)

HD 57 – Bronna Kahle (R)

HD 64 – Julie Alexander (R)

HD 67 – Kara Hope (D)

HD 73 – Lynn Afendoulis (R)

HD 76 – Rachel Hood (D)

HD 80 – Mary Whiteford (R)

HD 83 – Shane Hernandez (R)

HD 84 – Phil Green (R)

HD 86  – Thomas Albert (R)

HD 87 – Julie Calley (R)

HD 93 – Graham Filler (R)

HD 95 – Vanessa Guerra (D)

HD 97 – Jason Wentworth (R)

HD 98 – Annette Glenn (R)

HD 99 – Roger Hauck (R)

HD 101 – Jack O Malley (R)

HD 102 – Michele Hoitenga (R)

HD 105 – Triston Cole (R)

HD 106 – Sue Allor (R)

12:50-

HD 109 – Sara Cambensy (D)

HD 23 – Darrin Camilleri (D)

HD 38 – Kathy Crawford (R)

HD 39 – Ryan Berman (R)

HD 44 – Matt Maddock (R)

HD 45 – Mike Webber (R)

HD 55 – Jason Shepard (R)

HD 72 – Steven Johnson (R)

HD 77 – Tommy Brann (R)

HD 79 – Pauline Wendzel (R)

HD 81 – Gary Eisen (R)

HD 85 – Ben Frederick (R)

HD 86 – Thomas Albert (R)

HD 94 – Rodney Wakeman (R)

HD 100 – Scott VanSingel (R)

 

 

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